← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University-0.09+1.19vs Predicted
-
2Hillsdale College-0.70+0.87vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-1.04+0.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-1.28-0.42vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-1.25-1.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Iowa-3.00-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Marquette University-0.0938.0%1st Place
-
2.87Hillsdale College-0.7021.3%1st Place
-
3.33Marquette University-1.0414.9%1st Place
-
3.58University of Illinois-1.2812.3%1st Place
-
3.58Northwestern University-1.2511.3%1st Place
-
5.44University of Iowa-3.002.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 38.0% | 26.6% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 21.3% | 23.3% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 3.2% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 14.9% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 6.0% |
| Bahda Hoang | 12.3% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 25.9% | 8.2% |
| Annabel Edwards | 11.3% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 25.5% | 7.8% |
| Zachary Warren | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.