← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.43+3.43vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.73+1.77vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.69+3.65vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.68+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.15+0.30vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.62vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.94-1.05vs Predicted
-
8Brandeis University0.59+4.57vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.23-0.96vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.05vs Predicted
-
11McGill University1.06+0.47vs Predicted
-
12Williams College0.59+0.74vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire1.04-1.45vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.45-6.74vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.52-2.07vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut0.51-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.43Harvard University3.430.2%1st Place
-
3.77Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
-
6.65Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.78Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
5.3Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
-
6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.95Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
12.57Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
11.47McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
-
12.74Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
-
11.55University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
-
7.26Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
12.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
-
12.98University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 17.1% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 21.2% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| Brad Carvalho | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 20.5% |
| Ann Sager | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 7.7% |
| John Silvestri | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Butler | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 21.6% |
| Brooke Doyon | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.