← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University-0.09+1.17vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-1.25+1.64vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-1.04+0.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-1.28-0.41vs Predicted
-
5Hillsdale College-0.70-2.19vs Predicted
-
6University of Iowa-3.00-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Marquette University-0.0937.5%1st Place
-
3.64Northwestern University-1.2511.0%1st Place
-
3.34Marquette University-1.0415.5%1st Place
-
3.59University of Illinois-1.2811.2%1st Place
-
2.81Hillsdale College-0.7022.6%1st Place
-
5.44University of Iowa-3.002.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 37.5% | 28.5% | 18.6% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Annabel Edwards | 11.0% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 26.9% | 8.6% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 15.5% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 20.1% | 6.5% |
| Bahda Hoang | 11.2% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 25.1% | 8.1% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 22.6% | 22.7% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Warren | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.