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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College-0.70+1.57vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.09-0.07vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.04-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.28-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-2.51-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Hillsdale College-0.7022.4%1st Place
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1.93Marquette University-0.0943.3%1st Place
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2.94Marquette University-1.0416.3%1st Place
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3.18University of Illinois-1.2814.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Iowa-2.513.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Scanlon | 22.4% | 26.9% | 26.9% | 18.6% | 5.1% |
| Eli Erling | 43.3% | 30.1% | 18.3% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 16.3% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 26.9% | 10.7% |
| Bahda Hoang | 14.1% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 33.5% | 14.4% |
| Maggie Lennon | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.