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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+2.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.45vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+1.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.02vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+1.67vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+0.74vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.230.00vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.06+2.46vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.15-4.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.52+1.78vs Predicted
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12Williams College0.59+0.73vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.51-0.11vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-7.72vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.04-4.32vs Predicted
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17Brandeis University0.59-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.67Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.97Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.46McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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5.33Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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12.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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12.73Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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7.28Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.68University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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12.77Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 21.8% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 15.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Butler | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 21.1% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 21.7% |
| Brooke Doyon | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 21.2% |
| John Silvestri | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ann Sager | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 6.9% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.