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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+3.44vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+2.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73-0.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.94+0.90vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+0.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.04vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59+4.64vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68-2.35vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-2.58vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-3.02vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.06-0.51vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.51-0.07vs Predicted
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14Williams College0.59-1.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.52-2.03vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.04-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Harvard University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.27Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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5.9Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.64Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.42Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.49McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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12.63Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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12.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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11.67University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 16.0% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 12.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 19.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brad Carvalho | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% |
| Brooke Doyon | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 22.2% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 19.8% |
| Matthew Butler | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 22.1% |
| Ann Sager | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.