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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.09+0.93vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-0.70+0.53vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.04-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.28-0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-2.51-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Marquette University-0.0944.1%1st Place
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2.53Hillsdale College-0.7023.8%1st Place
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2.98Marquette University-1.0415.4%1st Place
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3.15University of Illinois-1.2812.7%1st Place
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4.41University of Iowa-2.514.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 44.1% | 29.2% | 17.3% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 23.8% | 27.7% | 25.6% | 17.6% | 5.2% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 15.4% | 20.2% | 26.0% | 27.7% | 10.8% |
| Bahda Hoang | 12.7% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 32.6% | 12.8% |
| Maggie Lennon | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.