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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+5.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+1.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+1.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+2.79vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73-1.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.83vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.48+0.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.20vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-2.70vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University1.25+0.85vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67+0.20vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.28+0.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51-3.96vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.93-3.45vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.66-3.63vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.36-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.99Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.56Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.98Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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5.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.85Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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13.13University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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10.04Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.55McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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14.42Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 18.0% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 14.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 16.9% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 11.5% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| John Cavoores | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 11.0% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 22.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Matt Palardy | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| James Fales | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 9.2% |
| William Gomez | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 20.9% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.