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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.09+0.93vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-0.70+0.51vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.04-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.28-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-2.51-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Marquette University-0.0943.5%1st Place
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2.51Hillsdale College-0.7024.6%1st Place
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2.93Marquette University-1.0415.8%1st Place
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3.16University of Illinois-1.2812.6%1st Place
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4.46University of Iowa-2.513.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 43.5% | 29.8% | 17.9% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 24.6% | 26.5% | 26.4% | 18.6% | 4.0% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 15.8% | 21.4% | 25.7% | 28.2% | 8.9% |
| Bahda Hoang | 12.6% | 18.0% | 23.0% | 33.1% | 13.2% |
| Maggie Lennon | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.