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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+4.60vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+8.58vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+3.89vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.03vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.94vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+2.26vs Predicted
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7Penn State University1.13+3.03vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-0.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.57-4.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+1.32vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.54-2.25vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.43+0.45vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.73-6.86vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.13-0.08vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.73-4.46vs Predicted
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16Washington College-0.55-1.01vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-4.62vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.20-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Georgetown University2.2011.8%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University1.072.8%1st Place
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6.89Cornell University1.967.3%1st Place
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6.03University of Pennsylvania2.1610.2%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.5%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University1.266.0%1st Place
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10.03Penn State University1.133.0%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.796.2%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.8%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.8%1st Place
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8.75Fordham University1.544.7%1st Place
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12.45Columbia University0.431.3%1st Place
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6.14Webb Institute1.7310.5%1st Place
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13.92SUNY Maritime College-0.131.4%1st Place
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10.54Christopher Newport University0.733.3%1st Place
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14.99Washington College-0.550.9%1st Place
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12.38Hampton University0.722.2%1st Place
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13.77Virginia Tech-0.201.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 35.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.