← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hillsdale College-0.70+1.71vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-0.09+0.06vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-1.04+0.18vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-1.28-0.52vs Predicted
-
5Cleveland State University-2.10-0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of Iowa-2.51-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71Hillsdale College-0.7024.3%1st Place
-
2.06Marquette University-0.0939.8%1st Place
-
3.18Marquette University-1.0414.5%1st Place
-
3.48University of Illinois-1.2811.9%1st Place
-
4.44Cleveland State University-2.106.2%1st Place
-
5.13University of Iowa-2.513.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Scanlon | 24.3% | 24.9% | 21.4% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 2.5% |
| Eli Erling | 39.8% | 29.6% | 18.6% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 14.5% | 18.4% | 24.9% | 23.2% | 14.2% | 4.7% |
| Bahda Hoang | 11.9% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 20.0% | 7.5% |
| Katherine Mlachak | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 33.1% | 27.1% |
| Maggie Lennon | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.