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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+2.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+2.53vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University1.25+7.76vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+2.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+0.65vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.48+0.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.23vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-6.00vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.51-0.84vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-5.74vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.93-1.43vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.66-2.78vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.28-2.79vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.36-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University3.480.2%1st Place
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10.76Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.0Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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10.16Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.57McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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13.21University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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14.4Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 18.7% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 15.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 18.7% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Palardy | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| John Cavoores | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 10.6% |
| James Fales | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 23.5% | 20.3% |
| William Gomez | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.