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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+4.56vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+1.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+2.80vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.51+5.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73-1.96vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.93+4.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.96vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-4.46vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.48-2.60vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University1.25-1.26vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-6.67vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67-1.76vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.28-1.97vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.66-3.69vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.36-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.01Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.13Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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4.04Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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11.66McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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4.54Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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10.74Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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13.03University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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14.4Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 18.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 17.7% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 6.9% |
| David Larson | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cavoores | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 18.8% |
| James Fales | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 11.0% |
| William Gomez | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.