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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.21vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.94vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.85vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+5.86vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+5.63vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05-0.79vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+1.64vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-0.59vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+3.51vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-2.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.17vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.40-5.38vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.29vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.20vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.71-4.75vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-7.21vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.85-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.8%1st Place
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10.86Connecticut College1.952.9%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont1.583.1%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University3.0510.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
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8.41Boston College2.206.8%1st Place
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13.51Salve Regina University1.311.5%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.2%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University2.407.8%1st Place
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15.29Maine Maritime Academy0.410.7%1st Place
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13.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.8%1st Place
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11.25Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.794.0%1st Place
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7.13Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 41.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 20.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.