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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+5.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+7.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+2.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.84vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+3.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.82vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+3.86vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+1.91vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.99vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.41+5.30vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-2.74vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-0.62vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-1.69vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-5.82vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-7.92vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-8.03vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-3.55vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Dartmouth College2.908.9%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University3.0511.8%1st Place
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5.84Yale University2.7313.0%1st Place
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8.47Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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10.86Connecticut College1.953.2%1st Place
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9.91Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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15.3Maine Maritime Academy0.410.7%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.385.7%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.582.4%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University1.712.8%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island2.786.0%1st Place
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7.08Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University2.407.2%1st Place
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13.45Salve Regina University1.311.6%1st Place
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13.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 42.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 16.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.