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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+5.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+4.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+0.98vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+0.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.70+1.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.06vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University1.25+2.78vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67+3.20vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.48-2.64vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.51-0.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-7.45vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.66-1.73vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.93-3.44vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.28-2.78vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.36-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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3.98Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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4.08Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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10.78Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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10.07Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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11.56McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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13.22University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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14.4Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 18.5% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 17.4% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| John Cavoores | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 9.9% |
| Becker Awqatty | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 10.2% |
| Matt Palardy | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 23.6% | 20.6% |
| William Gomez | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.