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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+2.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+1.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+1.57vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University1.25+6.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+0.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.05vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-1.78vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.51+1.02vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.70-3.28vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.28+2.05vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67+0.29vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.48-5.73vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.93-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.66-2.67vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.36-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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3.96Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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4.57Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.92Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.02Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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13.05University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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12.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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7.27Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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11.54McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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14.42Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 19.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 19.6% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| David Larson | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 23.0% | 19.9% |
| John Cavoores | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 11.6% |
| Becker Awqatty | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Palardy | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| James Fales | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 10.2% |
| William Gomez | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.