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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.06vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+6.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+9.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.87vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+1.08vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-1.33vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-3.94vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-0.21vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07+0.85vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-6.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-4.41vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.73-9.24vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-4.40vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-3.83vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island2.786.6%1st Place
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9.64Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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13.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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8.49Boston College2.205.5%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University2.407.3%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University3.0511.6%1st Place
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10.79Connecticut College1.953.1%1st Place
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12.85Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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5.76Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont1.582.5%1st Place
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13.17Salve Regina University1.311.8%1st Place
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15.09Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 13.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.