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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+5.50vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+0.97vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40+0.80vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+5.34vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+1.82vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+1.39vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-4.07vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-2.44vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-4.79vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.35vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.21vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-6.50vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.78-8.93vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.8%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.205.5%1st Place
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7.08Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.0512.5%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.406.8%1st Place
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13.34Salve Regina University1.311.7%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College1.953.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont1.582.6%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College2.386.9%1st Place
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13.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
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15.21Maine Maritime Academy0.410.6%1st Place
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9.5Boston University1.794.6%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island2.786.1%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University1.071.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 38.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.