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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brandeis University1.25+9.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+1.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+2.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.10vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48-1.38vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.70-0.27vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-1.80vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.48-1.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.04vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.51-0.97vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.28+1.12vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.66-0.69vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67-1.79vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.93-4.29vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.36-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.67Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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3.95Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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3.97Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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4.62Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.2Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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10.03Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.12University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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12.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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11.71McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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14.4Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dunn | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 18.4% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 18.6% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 22.2% |
| James Fales | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 10.8% |
| John Cavoores | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 9.4% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| William Gomez | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.