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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+6.83vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.38+6.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.83vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+5.78vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+1.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+1.17vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+6.39vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20+0.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+1.48vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-0.09vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-0.61vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-6.12vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.18vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-7.08vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.95vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.12-7.31vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Roger Williams University2.407.6%1st Place
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8.02Bowdoin College2.386.8%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.7311.4%1st Place
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9.78Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University3.0510.0%1st Place
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7.17Brown University2.858.4%1st Place
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13.39Salve Regina University1.311.6%1st Place
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8.57Boston College2.206.3%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.2%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont1.582.8%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College1.953.4%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.712.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.908.5%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island2.787.3%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University2.125.0%1st Place
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15.2Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Walter Henry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Will Priebe | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.