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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+6.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+7.53vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+5.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+3.08vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.19vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85+0.09vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+2.97vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05-2.89vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+3.35vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58+0.54vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.27vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.91vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.67vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-5.32vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.38-7.96vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.77vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.73-12.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Roger Williams University2.407.3%1st Place
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9.53Boston University1.795.7%1st Place
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8.59Boston College2.205.4%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.786.9%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
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10.97Connecticut College1.952.8%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University3.059.7%1st Place
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13.35Salve Regina University1.311.5%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont1.582.8%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
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13.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University1.712.7%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College2.386.6%1st Place
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15.23Maine Maritime Academy0.410.8%1st Place
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5.89Yale University2.7312.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Walter Henry | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 15.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 21.0% |
| Will Priebe | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 40.9% |
| Jack Egan | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.