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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+3.48vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+2.01vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University1.25+7.73vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+1.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.82vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-0.60vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.93+3.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.15vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.51+0.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.70-4.39vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.48-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.66-1.70vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.28-1.91vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67-3.61vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.36-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.01Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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10.73Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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4.06Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.54McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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10.14Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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12.3University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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13.09University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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12.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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14.42Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Palardy | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 5.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Luke O'Connor | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 22.4% | 19.0% |
| John Cavoores | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
| William Gomez | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.