Race 1A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Edmunds 7.5% 8.5% 10.4% 9.0% 8.6% 9.3% 8.9% 11.1% 8.5% 5.9% 5.3% 3.4% 2.9% 0.7%
Michael Zonnenberg 17.5% 15.6% 14.2% 14.8% 9.8% 10.0% 6.5% 4.4% 2.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Cameron Fraser 9.2% 8.9% 9.5% 9.1% 10.3% 9.3% 9.8% 9.5% 8.1% 7.0% 5.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3%
John Cappetta 2.1% 1.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.3% 6.5% 5.9% 6.3% 7.4% 8.2% 12.4% 11.9% 14.2% 11.6%
Dan Nickerson 11.1% 12.8% 13.9% 12.5% 10.3% 9.0% 8.6% 8.1% 6.2% 3.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.0% 11.0% 9.9% 10.7% 9.3% 10.9% 9.5% 8.6% 8.2% 5.4% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.0% 12.8% 11.2% 11.1% 10.8% 9.6% 10.2% 7.2% 5.8% 4.0% 2.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Kyle Carney 13.6% 13.7% 10.9% 10.6% 11.3% 8.9% 7.9% 7.7% 5.9% 5.1% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Johannes Raatz 3.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 4.0% 4.6% 5.5% 7.5% 11.0% 10.9% 14.1% 14.3% 14.7%
Sean McLaughlin 3.1% 2.3% 3.5% 3.1% 5.7% 6.7% 6.6% 6.4% 9.6% 9.3% 10.6% 12.5% 12.1% 8.5%
Andrew McHenry 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 3.4% 2.3% 4.5% 5.4% 5.7% 7.5% 8.6% 12.7% 17.3% 25.8%
Jack Kerby-Miller 1.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 3.9% 6.8% 7.6% 8.9% 10.1% 12.5% 14.6% 21.2%
Brooke Baker 3.3% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 5.0% 4.3% 5.8% 7.3% 8.1% 11.5% 12.0% 11.9% 11.4% 9.6%
Michael Rottier 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 6.3% 7.3% 5.7% 8.5% 10.4% 12.7% 12.1% 9.8% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.