← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.90+5.76vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.05+3.84vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.08+7.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.58+7.20vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.40+2.57vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.36vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.07+5.89vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.78-0.18vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.95+1.48vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.20-1.51vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.24vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.73-6.25vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.12-3.60vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.31-0.63vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.03vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.30vs Predicted
-
17Brown University2.85-9.94vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.79-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.76Dartmouth College2.908.9%1st Place
-
5.84Harvard University3.0512.0%1st Place
-
10.07Bowdoin College2.084.2%1st Place
-
11.2University of Vermont1.582.6%1st Place
-
7.57Roger Williams University2.407.4%1st Place
-
8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.3%1st Place
-
12.89Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
-
7.82University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
-
10.48Connecticut College1.953.5%1st Place
-
8.49Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
-
7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
-
5.75Yale University2.7311.5%1st Place
-
9.4Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
-
13.37Salve Regina University1.311.9%1st Place
-
14.97Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
-
13.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
-
7.06Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
-
9.52Boston University1.794.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 12.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Walter Henry | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 36.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.