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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+5.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+5.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+6.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+4.59vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+8.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73-0.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+0.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+0.59vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08+0.24vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-1.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.67vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-6.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-2.48vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-2.19vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.19vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.38vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Dartmouth College2.908.3%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University2.407.8%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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13.21Salve Regina University1.311.5%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.7312.0%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University3.0511.8%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.794.8%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College2.082.9%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College2.295.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.8%1st Place
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6.81Brown University2.858.4%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont1.582.5%1st Place
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12.81Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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13.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
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15.24Maine Maritime Academy0.411.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
| Jack Egan | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.