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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+6.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+4.84vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+2.96vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.71+7.12vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.48+9.75vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.08+3.84vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+2.44vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.83+7.39vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-0.96vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.73vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.73-6.06vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-2.54vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-5.44vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.85-8.96vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.03vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.12-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Roger Williams University2.406.5%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College2.909.7%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University3.0511.8%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.712.8%1st Place
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14.75Maine Maritime Academy0.480.8%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College2.085.3%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College2.294.5%1st Place
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15.39Salve Regina University0.830.8%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island2.787.1%1st Place
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13.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.3%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.7310.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.206.9%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont1.582.5%1st Place
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9.56Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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7.04Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.123.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Zachary York | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 28.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 41.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 16.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.