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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+4.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.80vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.26+4.30vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.73+1.25vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+1.78vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.43+5.44vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-1.13vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.96-2.18vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.13+3.82vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.07-0.43vs Predicted
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12Penn State University1.13-1.86vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.54-4.51vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72-1.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-3.71vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.73-5.45vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.20-3.06vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.55-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Georgetown University2.2011.6%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.5716.6%1st Place
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5.8University of Pennsylvania2.1611.3%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University1.266.2%1st Place
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6.25Webb Institute1.738.9%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.797.3%1st Place
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12.44Columbia University0.431.8%1st Place
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6.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.2%1st Place
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6.82Cornell University1.968.4%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Maritime College-0.130.9%1st Place
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10.57George Washington University1.072.8%1st Place
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10.14Penn State University1.133.4%1st Place
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8.49Fordham University1.544.9%1st Place
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12.42Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
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11.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.5%1st Place
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10.55Christopher Newport University0.733.0%1st Place
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13.94Virginia Tech-0.201.1%1st Place
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15.07Washington College-0.550.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 17.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.