Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Zonnenberg 16.1% 18.7% 14.1% 10.5% 11.2% 8.0% 6.2% 6.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Dan Nickerson 14.5% 13.0% 14.3% 11.7% 9.7% 10.9% 8.4% 6.7% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.3%
Kyle Carney 13.3% 12.6% 12.5% 10.8% 10.6% 9.5% 10.4% 6.2% 6.3% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 9.9% 10.9% 11.5% 10.8% 9.5% 11.4% 8.2% 8.9% 6.2% 5.9% 3.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.4%
Cameron Fraser 7.6% 8.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.7% 9.2% 10.2% 8.0% 9.6% 6.7% 4.9% 3.3% 1.2% 1.0%
John Cappetta 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 3.7% 3.6% 5.9% 7.3% 8.1% 10.2% 10.3% 13.0% 13.0% 13.1%
Andrew McHenry 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 3.4% 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 6.3% 7.6% 10.3% 12.0% 17.3% 21.6%
Peter Edmunds 8.5% 8.5% 9.8% 9.2% 8.4% 9.3% 9.3% 9.1% 7.5% 7.7% 5.8% 3.7% 2.5% 0.7%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.7% 10.2% 9.8% 12.8% 11.8% 10.1% 8.5% 7.8% 7.3% 4.3% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Johannes Raatz 2.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.8% 5.2% 8.0% 7.4% 9.3% 11.0% 12.4% 14.0% 15.4%
Sean McLaughlin 3.3% 3.1% 2.7% 3.9% 5.2% 5.8% 7.1% 7.2% 7.1% 11.5% 10.6% 11.8% 11.7% 9.0%
Jack Kerby-Miller 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 4.7% 5.7% 6.9% 8.2% 11.8% 12.5% 14.8% 20.9%
Brooke Baker 3.4% 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 4.1% 5.3% 5.0% 8.3% 8.3% 11.2% 10.9% 12.2% 11.3% 10.1%
Michael Rottier 3.1% 3.7% 2.3% 5.7% 5.0% 5.3% 6.5% 6.0% 10.2% 8.4% 14.2% 11.4% 10.8% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.