← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.29+8.67vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.90+4.98vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.73+2.84vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.08+6.11vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.40+2.72vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.12+3.59vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.85+0.18vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.20+0.79vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.39vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.05-4.03vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.78-2.85vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.18vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.79-3.32vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.58-2.43vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.71-3.71vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.13vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.13vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.31-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.67Connecticut College2.294.2%1st Place
-
6.98Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
-
5.84Yale University2.7312.1%1st Place
-
10.11Bowdoin College2.084.5%1st Place
-
7.72Roger Williams University2.407.2%1st Place
-
9.59Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
-
7.18Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
-
8.79Boston College2.205.7%1st Place
-
8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.3%1st Place
-
5.97Harvard University3.0511.8%1st Place
-
8.15University of Rhode Island2.786.6%1st Place
-
7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
-
9.68Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
-
11.57University of Vermont1.582.7%1st Place
-
11.29Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
-
14.87Maine Maritime Academy0.480.8%1st Place
-
13.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.1%1st Place
-
13.29Salve Regina University1.311.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Zachary York | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 37.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 22.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.