Race 5A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Zonnenberg 17.4% 16.5% 13.7% 12.3% 10.4% 7.4% 7.3% 5.6% 4.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 10.4% 10.2% 9.5% 8.5% 10.3% 10.1% 9.5% 9.6% 7.9% 5.5% 4.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.6%
Sean McLaughlin 3.7% 3.0% 4.9% 4.3% 4.9% 5.1% 6.1% 6.0% 8.2% 9.8% 10.3% 13.8% 11.2% 8.7%
Peter Edmunds 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 9.8% 9.2% 9.1% 8.9% 10.4% 8.5% 6.9% 5.9% 4.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Dan Nickerson 11.2% 13.5% 13.6% 10.1% 11.1% 10.4% 8.8% 7.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Johannes Raatz 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.5% 8.9% 9.5% 11.6% 11.2% 14.1% 16.3%
Kyle Carney 13.5% 14.6% 10.8% 12.0% 11.3% 9.1% 9.6% 6.8% 4.8% 4.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.4% 7.5% 9.4% 12.6% 17.0% 23.9%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.4% 9.9% 11.4% 11.1% 10.9% 10.8% 10.2% 8.2% 6.7% 4.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.2% 9.9% 11.1% 11.3% 9.5% 10.8% 9.0% 9.1% 6.3% 5.9% 3.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Michael Rottier 2.9% 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 4.6% 5.0% 6.1% 7.9% 7.8% 11.7% 11.9% 11.8% 10.1% 9.6%
John Cappetta 2.4% 2.3% 2.7% 3.4% 4.3% 4.5% 5.8% 6.9% 10.1% 10.2% 10.4% 13.1% 11.7% 12.2%
Jack Kerby-Miller 2.6% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 5.8% 6.8% 8.8% 11.9% 12.4% 15.6% 19.2%
Brooke Baker 2.7% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 4.2% 6.1% 6.4% 6.4% 7.3% 9.8% 12.8% 12.5% 13.4% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.