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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+8.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+4.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+2.23vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+5.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+7.75vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.61vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-2.08vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+1.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.22vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.90-5.18vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-4.85vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-1.27vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.06vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.20-7.28vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-3.57vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Tufts University2.124.1%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University2.688.8%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University3.0510.8%1st Place
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6.23Brown University2.9110.5%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College2.083.6%1st Place
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13.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
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9.61Boston University1.795.3%1st Place
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5.92Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College2.294.4%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont1.582.8%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College2.909.3%1st Place
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8.15University of Rhode Island2.786.2%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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8.72Boston College2.204.8%1st Place
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13.43Salve Regina University1.311.7%1st Place
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15.09Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 19.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 15.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.