Race 6A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Zonnenberg 17.4% 16.8% 13.2% 13.4% 10.8% 8.0% 7.1% 4.3% 3.9% 2.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3%
Peter Edmunds 8.9% 10.1% 8.3% 9.8% 8.5% 7.7% 10.5% 10.2% 8.2% 7.5% 5.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.5% 11.5% 10.8% 9.6% 11.0% 10.0% 8.0% 9.0% 7.2% 6.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
John Cappetta 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% 4.1% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 6.1% 7.2% 11.0% 11.2% 13.1% 13.9% 10.6%
Kyle Carney 10.7% 13.3% 11.9% 11.7% 11.1% 9.2% 9.1% 8.3% 6.8% 3.1% 2.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Dan Nickerson 12.6% 12.4% 12.6% 13.2% 9.4% 9.9% 8.6% 7.8% 5.7% 3.8% 2.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 2.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 3.7% 4.4% 3.8% 5.7% 6.0% 7.0% 9.6% 12.7% 16.4% 22.8%
Sean McLaughlin 3.8% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 3.8% 5.7% 6.0% 6.3% 8.5% 9.0% 11.7% 12.2% 11.8% 8.5%
Cameron Fraser 9.1% 7.6% 9.8% 8.1% 11.1% 11.9% 8.4% 9.5% 8.9% 5.6% 4.6% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Jack Kerby-Miller 1.9% 2.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 5.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.4% 10.5% 13.2% 15.1% 22.3%
Johannes Raatz 2.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 5.4% 5.1% 6.5% 6.5% 10.0% 12.3% 11.0% 14.0% 16.6%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.2% 10.6% 13.1% 10.8% 11.3% 9.0% 8.9% 7.5% 6.9% 5.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Michael Rottier 3.8% 3.4% 3.4% 4.2% 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 6.5% 9.4% 12.5% 11.2% 10.0% 11.9% 7.6%
Brooke Baker 3.1% 2.3% 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 5.0% 7.0% 6.3% 8.2% 9.4% 11.1% 14.2% 11.3% 9.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.