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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+5.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.06vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+6.68vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+3.53vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+3.55vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-0.99vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05-1.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.07vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-3.07vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31+2.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-2.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-2.52vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.31vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.08-5.93vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.31vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Brown University2.9110.7%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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9.68Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.688.7%1st Place
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8.53Boston College2.205.3%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College2.295.5%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.7310.3%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University3.0510.9%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.909.4%1st Place
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13.52Salve Regina University1.311.6%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.125.2%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont1.582.5%1st Place
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15.31Maine Maritime Academy0.411.0%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College2.083.5%1st Place
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13.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University1.071.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 40.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.