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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.63vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.08+7.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.96vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+1.06vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+0.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20+1.52vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+1.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.02vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+3.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-1.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-2.54vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-6.44vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-2.53vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-4.76vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.18vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College2.083.9%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College2.909.3%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.7310.9%1st Place
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6.06Brown University2.9110.7%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University3.0511.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston College2.204.7%1st Place
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9.49Boston University1.794.9%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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13.38Salve Regina University1.312.0%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College2.294.5%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University2.6810.2%1st Place
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11.47University of Rhode Island1.422.6%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University1.712.6%1st Place
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11.24University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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14.76Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 17.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Will Priebe | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 20.4% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.