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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.36+3.90vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.80+7.37vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.63+0.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+0.57vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+0.11vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+0.80vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.50+1.30vs Predicted
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10Amherst College1.69-0.06vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University1.87-1.49vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.90-5.59vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.96-4.93vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.41-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.37Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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5.22Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Vermont3.630.2%1st Place
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5.57Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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10.3Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.94Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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9.51Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.41Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.75Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Carney | 11.9% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Cappetta | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 15.9% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 6.4% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 22.8% |
| Johannes Raatz | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 13.1% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 26.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.