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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+5.22vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+4.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+4.45vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+1.16vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31+7.31vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.58+4.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.37vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-0.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-1.60vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-0.94vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-6.35vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-4.50vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.26vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.08-6.01vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.42-5.43vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Brown University2.9110.7%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.909.5%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.7311.7%1st Place
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8.45Boston College2.205.8%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University3.059.3%1st Place
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13.31Salve Regina University1.311.6%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont1.583.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College2.294.3%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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11.06Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University2.689.5%1st Place
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9.5Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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13.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
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9.99Bowdoin College2.083.9%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island1.422.8%1st Place
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14.9Maine Maritime Academy0.480.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 20.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Zachary York | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.