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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.80vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+7.65vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.45vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+2.13vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73+1.53vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.58+0.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.70vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.17vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-0.51vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+0.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-1.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-0.76vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-1.31vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.81-3.60vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.46vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.86vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.72-3.53vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Harvard University3.1816.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.386.9%1st Place
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6.13Yale University2.8510.1%1st Place
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6.53Brown University2.739.6%1st Place
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6.75Boston College2.588.8%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.4%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University2.226.0%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.094.7%1st Place
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10.3Boston University1.653.8%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College1.923.7%1st Place
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11.24Northeastern University1.222.6%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University0.462.8%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island1.814.2%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.5%1st Place
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15.14Maine Maritime Academy0.270.7%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont0.721.1%1st Place
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15.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 23.1% | 30.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 13.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 19.7% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.