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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+5.22vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+7.82vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+6.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-0.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09+1.27vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.92+1.80vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-1.60vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.81-0.61vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.89vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.58-6.31vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-2.72vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.73-8.51vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.38vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-5.07vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Yale University2.8510.5%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College2.034.2%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.2%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.6%1st Place
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4.84Harvard University3.1814.8%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.226.1%1st Place
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8.27Roger Williams University2.095.7%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College1.924.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
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10.32Boston University1.653.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island1.813.4%1st Place
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14.89Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
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6.69Boston College2.5810.2%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.222.5%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.739.0%1st Place
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15.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.2%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University0.462.3%1st Place
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13.54University of Vermont0.721.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stephan Baker | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
Maks Groom | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
Colman Schofield | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Justin Callahan | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Oliver Stokke | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
William Michels | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Micky Munns | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 23.8% | 29.7% |
Peter Busch | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Eva Ermlich | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
Guthrie Braun | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Andy Leshaw | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 41.9% |
Emil Tullberg | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
Ryan Potter | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.