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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.32vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+4.53vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+8.77vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+5.62vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-0.34vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.67vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65+3.36vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.85-1.98vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+3.62vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.58-3.26vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-3.81vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.96vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-4.35vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.38-7.67vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.72-2.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.81-6.74vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.7%1st Place
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6.53Brown University2.738.9%1st Place
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11.77Salve Regina University0.463.0%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College1.923.9%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University3.1817.2%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.227.3%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.653.2%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.8510.5%1st Place
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12.62Northeastern University1.181.7%1st Place
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6.74Boston College2.588.2%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.5%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University2.096.2%1st Place
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14.96Maine Maritime Academy0.270.7%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.033.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College2.387.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont0.721.3%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island1.813.5%1st Place
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15.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Peter Busch | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 29.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 12.5% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.