Race 11A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cameron Fraser 8.5% 10.1% 11.1% 7.9% 9.8% 10.9% 8.7% 9.3% 8.0% 5.6% 4.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Peter Edmunds 8.7% 8.9% 9.1% 9.4% 8.9% 8.8% 10.3% 10.5% 8.1% 7.6% 3.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9%
Dan Nickerson 14.7% 12.6% 12.2% 10.3% 11.6% 10.4% 9.3% 7.2% 4.9% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Zonnenberg 16.3% 15.1% 14.3% 12.6% 11.6% 8.3% 7.3% 6.7% 2.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.6% 9.4% 11.2% 12.2% 12.2% 9.5% 8.7% 7.9% 8.0% 5.8% 2.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Johannes Raatz 1.8% 3.3% 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.0% 4.7% 5.8% 8.0% 10.6% 11.5% 12.1% 14.1% 16.0%
Brooke Baker 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.6% 4.8% 5.7% 5.4% 7.2% 8.9% 8.4% 11.3% 12.5% 13.9% 7.1%
Kyle Carney 13.7% 12.2% 12.2% 12.0% 9.1% 10.0% 8.8% 6.4% 6.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Jack Kerby-Miller 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.3% 3.8% 4.9% 5.9% 9.6% 11.2% 14.3% 16.8% 18.5%
John Cappetta 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 2.4% 4.2% 5.8% 4.9% 6.6% 8.0% 9.8% 12.0% 12.9% 13.2% 12.4%
Sean McLaughlin 2.9% 3.7% 2.5% 4.3% 4.3% 6.1% 7.5% 7.7% 7.8% 9.8% 12.6% 11.0% 10.3% 9.5%
Andrew McHenry 1.2% 2.3% 1.6% 2.9% 2.2% 2.5% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 7.2% 12.0% 12.7% 14.5% 25.5%
Michael Rottier 3.5% 3.2% 3.7% 4.1% 4.7% 4.9% 5.6% 7.7% 10.1% 11.0% 10.7% 11.4% 11.0% 8.4%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.8% 11.1% 10.5% 11.6% 10.5% 10.8% 10.5% 7.3% 6.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.