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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+4.25vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+8.66vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+5.67vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.44vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.85-0.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.56vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+0.22vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-4.32vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.81+0.40vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-0.71vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.58-5.39vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.55vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-1.47vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.01vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-6.37vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-9.24vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.6%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.7310.4%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University0.461.8%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College1.923.5%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.387.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University2.8511.3%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.2%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University2.095.1%1st Place
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4.68Harvard University3.1816.4%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island1.813.0%1st Place
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10.29Boston University1.653.8%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.589.8%1st Place
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15.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
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12.53Northeastern University1.181.7%1st Place
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14.99Maine Maritime Academy0.270.5%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College2.034.0%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.226.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Vermont0.721.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Peter Busch | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 40.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 29.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.