Race 12A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.6% 11.7% 12.6% 11.5% 10.2% 9.2% 9.6% 7.3% 6.4% 3.3% 3.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Peter Edmunds 8.1% 10.9% 7.4% 10.0% 9.3% 9.4% 10.3% 9.4% 7.9% 6.7% 4.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Kyle Carney 13.4% 11.6% 12.4% 11.2% 11.0% 10.3% 8.8% 7.1% 5.3% 5.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack Kerby-Miller 1.6% 2.4% 1.6% 3.4% 3.6% 2.7% 5.7% 5.2% 7.3% 6.7% 10.6% 11.1% 16.6% 21.5%
Michael Zonnenberg 14.7% 15.1% 16.4% 11.6% 9.5% 11.0% 7.8% 5.5% 3.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Cameron Fraser 9.2% 7.2% 10.1% 8.3% 10.3% 9.6% 9.5% 10.3% 6.9% 7.9% 5.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Brooke Baker 3.1% 3.2% 4.1% 5.3% 5.1% 5.4% 4.3% 7.2% 9.6% 10.0% 10.1% 12.7% 11.0% 8.9%
Dan Nickerson 14.0% 14.5% 12.0% 9.6% 11.4% 10.1% 7.6% 6.6% 5.7% 4.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
John Cappetta 3.1% 3.0% 2.3% 2.9% 4.2% 3.6% 5.0% 6.5% 8.8% 9.9% 12.7% 13.0% 13.6% 11.4%
Johannes Raatz 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 1.6% 4.6% 4.0% 6.2% 7.3% 6.3% 8.8% 11.4% 11.8% 14.9% 15.9%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.8% 9.8% 9.6% 13.3% 8.3% 10.9% 9.0% 9.2% 7.0% 5.3% 2.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 2.2% 3.8% 4.7% 6.6% 7.9% 10.4% 13.2% 15.2% 25.4%
Michael Rottier 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 4.8% 5.2% 5.6% 7.2% 9.9% 11.2% 11.1% 10.6% 11.4% 8.6%
Sean McLaughlin 3.1% 3.1% 3.7% 4.7% 4.7% 6.4% 6.8% 6.5% 8.5% 10.7% 11.4% 13.7% 10.0% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.