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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+4.09vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.48vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+6.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.31vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+3.70vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38+3.56vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-1.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.73-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.87+1.87vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.46-0.45vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.04vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-4.48vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-3.80vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.92-6.24vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.58-10.38vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
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6.09Yale University2.859.8%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College2.387.0%1st Place
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10.43Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.0%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College2.033.9%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University2.095.8%1st Place
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11.56University of Rhode Island1.382.9%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University2.225.9%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.7310.1%1st Place
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12.87University of Vermont0.871.4%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University0.463.1%1st Place
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15.04Maine Maritime Academy0.270.4%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.8%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University1.223.0%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College1.923.7%1st Place
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6.62Boston College2.587.9%1st Place
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15.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 9.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 21.5% | 32.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Peter Busch | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.