Race 1B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kaylee Schwitzer 7.0% 8.0% 10.3% 8.6% 10.0% 7.7% 10.2% 9.5% 8.7% 7.1% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 0.9%
OJ O'Connell 19.4% 17.4% 16.2% 12.2% 11.7% 7.8% 5.9% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2%
Colin MURPHY 18.4% 17.8% 13.5% 11.2% 10.8% 8.8% 7.6% 4.9% 3.8% 1.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.2% 7.2% 9.2% 7.1% 9.4% 9.5% 11.3% 8.8% 8.9% 7.7% 6.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.0%
Conor Fowler 6.0% 7.6% 7.4% 9.6% 9.3% 8.5% 9.6% 9.7% 9.0% 8.8% 6.3% 4.0% 2.9% 1.3%
Conor Lodge 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 11.1% 9.6% 10.4% 9.1% 10.2% 7.4% 6.6% 4.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Samuel Scribner 3.0% 3.1% 4.6% 4.2% 6.0% 4.6% 5.6% 7.0% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 13.1% 12.0% 7.4%
Maxwell Bennett 11.4% 10.6% 10.1% 11.8% 9.1% 12.2% 7.2% 7.9% 7.4% 5.4% 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Terry Duncan 3.2% 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 2.8% 4.2% 3.5% 4.9% 7.3% 9.6% 12.3% 13.9% 16.6% 15.2%
John McGlynn 7.7% 8.9% 7.0% 10.9% 9.1% 10.1% 10.5% 9.5% 8.2% 7.2% 5.7% 3.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Daniel Barry 2.7% 3.3% 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.9% 6.5% 8.2% 7.5% 9.5% 12.4% 13.3% 12.1% 10.2%
John Murphy 2.2% 2.3% 2.7% 3.5% 3.5% 4.7% 4.4% 6.5% 8.3% 10.8% 12.4% 12.2% 12.1% 14.4%
William Kresic 1.8% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 3.2% 3.5% 4.4% 5.4% 8.3% 12.5% 17.2% 35.5%
Max Fleischfresser 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 4.3% 5.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.9% 10.1% 14.8% 17.7% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.