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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+3.99vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.92+6.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+2.36vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+3.26vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+1.36vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+2.78vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.27+7.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.72vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+0.51vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-3.35vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.58-5.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.38-1.43vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-4.37vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-3.93vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-2.77vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-5.31vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Harvard University3.1816.9%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.859.6%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College1.924.5%1st Place
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6.36Brown University2.739.8%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University2.094.9%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.386.8%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.033.8%1st Place
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15.07Maine Maritime Academy0.270.8%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.6%1st Place
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10.51Boston University1.653.1%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University2.226.3%1st Place
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6.64Boston College2.5810.2%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island1.382.4%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.4%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
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13.23University of Vermont0.871.2%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University0.462.4%1st Place
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15.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.9% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 23.2% | 30.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 10.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.