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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+5.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+1.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+6.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+2.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.73-2.62vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02-1.87vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.27+3.96vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-2.68vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.34vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.38vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.38-3.63vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-5.73vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-4.09vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.2%1st Place
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4.63Harvard University3.1816.3%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University2.095.3%1st Place
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5.87Yale University2.8510.7%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University1.181.9%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.226.5%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.7311.3%1st Place
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8.13Boston College2.026.0%1st Place
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14.96Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College1.924.5%1st Place
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15.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
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11.62Salve Regina University0.462.9%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island1.382.8%1st Place
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10.27Boston University1.653.1%1st Place
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12.91University of Vermont0.871.2%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.3% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 6.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 30.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 40.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.