Race 3B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Colin MURPHY 18.4% 17.5% 13.7% 13.0% 9.3% 9.3% 6.7% 4.0% 3.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 7.4% 8.8% 8.9% 7.7% 9.0% 8.8% 9.0% 10.6% 10.3% 7.7% 4.5% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Kaylee Schwitzer 7.1% 7.8% 8.3% 8.7% 8.9% 8.5% 10.3% 10.5% 9.2% 7.5% 6.5% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Max Fleischfresser 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 3.4% 3.6% 3.2% 5.7% 6.4% 7.1% 7.6% 9.9% 14.3% 17.1% 16.1%
John McGlynn 7.4% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4% 11.3% 8.7% 8.7% 9.5% 8.7% 7.0% 6.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.8%
Maxwell Bennett 10.2% 9.5% 11.4% 10.3% 10.9% 11.4% 8.5% 8.7% 6.8% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 10.0% 11.4% 11.8% 9.3% 10.6% 9.4% 10.1% 8.8% 6.5% 5.9% 3.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 7.3% 8.5% 7.9% 9.6% 7.4% 8.6% 9.6% 11.3% 7.9% 6.6% 7.0% 4.7% 3.3% 0.3%
Terry Duncan 2.7% 2.4% 1.6% 2.3% 3.3% 4.1% 3.8% 5.4% 8.0% 9.1% 11.3% 14.6% 16.3% 15.1%
Samuel Scribner 3.0% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 4.9% 7.2% 7.4% 4.8% 8.6% 11.1% 10.8% 12.5% 12.9% 9.0%
OJ O'Connell 18.6% 15.8% 14.1% 13.6% 11.6% 7.8% 6.4% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
William Kresic 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 4.3% 6.1% 9.4% 11.2% 17.0% 36.7%
John Murphy 2.6% 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 6.5% 8.1% 9.4% 13.2% 11.5% 14.3% 13.1%
Daniel Barry 2.9% 2.3% 3.8% 4.2% 4.0% 6.5% 6.6% 5.4% 7.1% 11.6% 11.7% 15.1% 11.2% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.