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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.63vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+6.11vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+5.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+3.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.08vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+4.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.43vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+1.13vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.73-3.85vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.38+0.38vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18+0.22vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.98vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.22-6.45vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-5.56vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-3.03vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.92-10.82vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Harvard University3.1816.5%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.095.8%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.386.9%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College1.923.8%1st Place
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8.22Boston College2.026.2%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.4%1st Place
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11.38Salve Regina University0.462.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston University1.653.7%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.7310.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island1.382.5%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University1.182.2%1st Place
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14.98Maine Maritime Academy0.270.7%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University2.226.2%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College2.034.9%1st Place
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12.97University of Vermont0.872.2%1st Place
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6.18Yale University2.9210.7%1st Place
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15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 21.1% | 30.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 9.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.