Race 4B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
OJ O'Connell 18.9% 18.4% 15.9% 11.7% 10.4% 6.9% 7.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaylee Schwitzer 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 9.2% 7.6% 10.0% 9.4% 10.2% 9.5% 7.5% 5.1% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7%
Colin MURPHY 19.4% 15.9% 14.3% 12.6% 10.3% 8.2% 8.3% 4.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Maxwell Bennett 9.4% 11.3% 10.9% 10.2% 13.2% 8.9% 8.5% 8.9% 6.8% 5.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Robert Lippincott 6.2% 6.2% 7.8% 10.2% 7.9% 9.1% 9.9% 8.8% 10.8% 8.5% 6.2% 4.4% 2.9% 1.1%
Conor Fowler 7.8% 5.9% 7.2% 9.2% 8.2% 10.1% 8.7% 11.1% 8.1% 9.3% 6.8% 4.4% 2.6% 0.6%
Samuel Scribner 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 5.4% 5.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.8% 8.9% 10.2% 12.1% 11.4% 11.2% 7.7%
Conor Lodge 9.9% 10.6% 10.3% 8.4% 10.1% 10.5% 9.0% 9.0% 7.7% 5.0% 4.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
William Kresic 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7% 2.6% 2.9% 2.2% 4.1% 6.3% 8.6% 10.8% 18.5% 37.1%
John Murphy 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 6.2% 5.2% 6.1% 7.8% 9.3% 11.9% 13.0% 15.4% 13.0%
Max Fleischfresser 1.8% 2.6% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 6.0% 6.0% 10.0% 9.5% 16.0% 14.8% 17.8%
John McGlynn 7.6% 8.2% 8.1% 10.4% 12.1% 9.3% 10.4% 8.5% 7.7% 6.8% 5.5% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Daniel Barry 3.0% 3.6% 3.1% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 5.3% 7.8% 9.2% 10.6% 11.9% 13.3% 12.1% 8.1%
Terry Duncan 2.0% 2.2% 3.0% 2.2% 3.9% 4.8% 5.8% 5.4% 7.4% 7.9% 12.4% 13.9% 16.1% 13.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.