Race 5B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Conor Fowler 6.9% 8.5% 7.2% 9.1% 10.3% 9.1% 9.6% 8.9% 8.1% 8.0% 6.1% 4.8% 2.8% 0.6%
Maxwell Bennett 12.0% 10.9% 10.5% 11.7% 11.0% 10.9% 8.4% 8.4% 6.0% 4.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.3%
OJ O'Connell 19.3% 18.3% 13.7% 12.9% 10.2% 8.4% 6.7% 4.7% 2.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Fleischfresser 1.9% 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 4.7% 4.0% 5.7% 6.2% 10.0% 11.2% 12.9% 15.3% 17.6%
Kaylee Schwitzer 6.0% 7.6% 8.7% 8.8% 10.1% 7.7% 10.0% 10.2% 9.3% 7.8% 5.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0%
Terry Duncan 1.7% 2.7% 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 4.8% 3.2% 5.4% 7.0% 10.1% 11.1% 13.2% 16.9% 15.5%
Robert Lippincott 7.5% 9.3% 8.7% 8.3% 9.1% 7.1% 10.8% 9.4% 9.3% 8.1% 5.9% 4.1% 2.0% 0.4%
Colin MURPHY 18.2% 17.3% 13.5% 11.5% 9.2% 9.7% 7.3% 4.7% 4.4% 2.3% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Barry 3.4% 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 4.4% 5.1% 6.8% 9.0% 11.8% 12.3% 13.5% 12.6% 8.8%
John Murphy 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.0% 4.5% 6.5% 6.8% 7.4% 9.5% 10.0% 13.9% 16.3% 12.2%
John McGlynn 8.5% 6.8% 9.8% 10.0% 9.0% 9.8% 9.4% 10.9% 8.6% 5.4% 6.4% 3.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Conor Lodge 8.2% 8.9% 11.8% 10.7% 10.6% 10.4% 9.7% 7.8% 8.3% 5.0% 3.7% 2.9% 1.8% 0.2%
William Kresic 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 2.6% 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 6.1% 7.6% 12.3% 16.5% 36.1%
Samuel Scribner 2.8% 2.3% 3.7% 3.6% 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 6.4% 9.1% 9.7% 13.1% 13.2% 11.1% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.