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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+4.70vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+4.27vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+0.86vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.44+0.15vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University2.71+1.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.95-0.49vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.65+1.99vs Predicted
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9Amherst College1.45+0.70vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.55-3.38vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.35-0.80vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-5.29vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.30-2.75vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-4.65vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.76-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.27Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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4.15Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.24Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.99Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.7Amherst College1.450.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.2Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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6.71Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.25Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.7% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 17.5% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Bennett | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 6.8% |
| John Murphy | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 16.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 17.2% |
| Daniel Barry | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.5% |
| William Kresic | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.