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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+6.17vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+8.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.60vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.20vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+6.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.48vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+4.39vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58-1.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-2.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.73-4.82vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-2.41vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.88vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-2.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.45-3.74vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.72-2.47vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.64vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.09-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
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10.21Boston University1.653.2%1st Place
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4.6Harvard University3.1817.2%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.929.6%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University0.462.9%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.6%1st Place
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11.39University of Rhode Island1.382.7%1st Place
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6.52Boston College2.588.8%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University2.226.7%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.739.2%1st Place
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9.59Bowdoin College2.033.8%1st Place
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14.88Maine Maritime Academy0.270.7%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.222.7%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College1.453.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Vermont0.720.9%1st Place
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15.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.096.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Peter Busch | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 29.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 19.7% | 39.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.