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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.07+9.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+7.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.00vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.58+1.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73+0.24vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+4.40vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.81+2.06vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.45+2.15vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.27+4.78vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18+1.39vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-1.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.88vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.22-7.57vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.06-7.34vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.38-9.68vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24Roger Williams University2.073.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.1%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University3.1817.8%1st Place
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6.0Yale University2.9210.7%1st Place
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6.38Boston College2.589.3%1st Place
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6.24Brown University2.739.7%1st Place
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11.4Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island1.813.8%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College1.453.0%1st Place
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14.78Maine Maritime Academy0.271.1%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.181.4%1st Place
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10.53Boston University1.393.5%1st Place
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15.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.0%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College2.065.0%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.387.2%1st Place
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13.23University of Vermont0.721.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.8% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 29.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 38.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.