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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+3.06vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+4.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.95+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51-0.04vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+4.51vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+0.71vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.55-0.66vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.65+1.19vs Predicted
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10Amherst College1.45-0.16vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University2.71-4.90vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-6.17vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.30-2.74vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.35-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.76-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University2.950.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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6.71Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.19Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.84Amherst College1.450.0%1st Place
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6.1Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.83Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.26Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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10.03Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 18.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Maxwell Bennett | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 18.2% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% |
| John Murphy | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% |
| John McGlynn | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.6% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| William Kresic | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.