← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.18+3.63vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.12vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.81+7.15vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.09vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.22+2.45vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.07+4.26vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.39+3.39vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.73-1.81vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.46+2.40vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.06-1.54vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.92-5.02vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.38-4.63vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.45-1.70vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.18-1.74vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.58-8.41vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.55vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.21vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont0.72-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.63Harvard University3.1816.7%1st Place
-
6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.8%1st Place
-
10.15University of Rhode Island1.813.3%1st Place
-
9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.9%1st Place
-
7.45Tufts University2.225.9%1st Place
-
10.26Roger Williams University2.072.8%1st Place
-
10.39Boston University1.393.0%1st Place
-
6.19Brown University2.7310.5%1st Place
-
11.4Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
-
8.46Bowdoin College2.064.7%1st Place
-
5.98Yale University2.9211.3%1st Place
-
7.37Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
-
11.3Connecticut College1.451.9%1st Place
-
12.26Northeastern University1.182.1%1st Place
-
6.59Boston College2.589.3%1st Place
-
15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
-
14.79Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
-
13.14University of Vermont0.721.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
| Peter Busch | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 40.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 28.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.