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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
OJ O'Connell 18.9% 19.2% 14.9% 12.2% 9.7% 7.3% 6.4% 4.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 20.2% 15.2% 14.5% 13.6% 11.1% 8.7% 6.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Kaylee Schwitzer 6.9% 8.2% 9.0% 8.4% 8.2% 8.1% 10.1% 10.2% 10.0% 7.8% 6.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Conor Lodge 7.8% 9.9% 11.7% 10.7% 10.2% 8.9% 9.6% 9.2% 7.8% 6.3% 4.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Maxwell Bennett 8.9% 10.9% 10.1% 12.6% 9.7% 10.6% 9.4% 7.5% 8.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Samuel Scribner 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 6.4% 8.1% 8.6% 10.5% 11.5% 11.7% 12.3% 9.9%
Robert Lippincott 8.7% 8.2% 7.5% 8.0% 9.9% 10.0% 9.5% 8.2% 8.6% 8.2% 6.7% 4.0% 1.4% 1.1%
William Kresic 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 4.6% 5.9% 7.6% 10.8% 16.8% 36.8%
John McGlynn 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 8.2% 10.9% 9.7% 10.7% 9.2% 9.3% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6%
Daniel Barry 2.7% 2.3% 3.5% 2.6% 4.0% 6.4% 5.0% 7.4% 7.4% 11.1% 10.4% 14.7% 14.3% 8.2%
Terry Duncan 2.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 3.5% 4.6% 3.7% 5.0% 9.4% 9.2% 10.6% 14.4% 15.8% 15.4%
Conor Fowler 6.8% 6.5% 7.7% 9.6% 10.0% 11.3% 9.0% 8.8% 7.2% 8.0% 7.2% 4.0% 2.9% 1.0%
John Murphy 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 4.5% 3.7% 5.3% 6.1% 8.1% 9.9% 11.5% 14.6% 14.6% 10.8%
Max Fleischfresser 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 2.6% 3.8% 5.6% 7.7% 5.6% 7.4% 12.6% 13.7% 16.2% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.