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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+2.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+1.95vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+3.47vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+0.76vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.95-0.44vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.65+2.36vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.76+2.38vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University2.71-3.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-1.50vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.35-1.81vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.55-6.44vs Predicted
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14Amherst College1.45-4.28vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.30-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.95Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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5.76Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.36Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.36Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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6.15Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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10.19Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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6.56Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.72Amherst College1.450.0%1st Place
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10.12Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 18.9% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 20.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Bennett | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| William Kresic | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 36.8% |
| John McGlynn | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 8.2% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.4% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| John Murphy | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 10.8% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.