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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.65+8.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.95+3.24vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University2.71+3.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.44+0.10vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+1.62vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55+0.65vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-0.68vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-4.96vs Predicted
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10Amherst College1.45-0.08vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-1.56vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35-2.86vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.30-3.86vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.76-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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5.24Tufts University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.04Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.1Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.75Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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9.92Amherst College1.450.0%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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10.14Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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10.14Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Scribner | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
| Maxwell Bennett | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John McGlynn | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 17.5% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 17.4% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Murphy | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.1% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| William Kresic | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.