← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.16vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.38+5.17vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.22+7.95vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.92+5.38vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.06+3.37vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.22+1.37vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.81+3.22vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.92-1.96vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.18-4.42vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.46+1.45vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.58-4.67vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.87+1.00vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.65-3.03vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.72-3.64vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.76vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.13vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.66vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.07-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.8%1st Place
-
7.17Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
-
10.95Northeastern University1.223.1%1st Place
-
9.38Connecticut College1.924.8%1st Place
-
8.37Bowdoin College2.066.0%1st Place
-
7.37Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
-
10.22University of Rhode Island1.813.9%1st Place
-
6.04Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
-
4.58Harvard University3.1816.0%1st Place
-
11.45Salve Regina University0.462.6%1st Place
-
6.33Boston College2.5810.3%1st Place
-
13.0University of Vermont0.871.6%1st Place
-
9.97Boston University1.653.7%1st Place
-
10.36Brown University1.724.1%1st Place
-
9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.4%1st Place
-
14.87Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
-
15.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
-
10.19Roger Williams University2.074.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Peter Busch | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 11.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Jed Bell | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Maks Groom | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 21.7% | 30.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 18.4% | 41.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.