Race 10B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Colin MURPHY 18.7% 16.0% 14.8% 13.2% 10.7% 6.9% 7.2% 4.2% 4.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaylee Schwitzer 8.0% 8.8% 9.8% 8.7% 7.2% 9.3% 10.6% 10.1% 9.6% 5.7% 6.9% 2.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Robert Lippincott 7.5% 7.8% 9.1% 7.6% 7.7% 7.9% 9.4% 10.8% 8.6% 9.7% 6.4% 4.3% 2.5% 0.7%
Maxwell Bennett 10.6% 10.7% 11.0% 11.2% 10.0% 11.8% 7.6% 8.9% 6.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5%
Conor Lodge 8.0% 9.6% 10.2% 11.1% 9.3% 9.5% 9.9% 9.4% 8.3% 6.4% 4.0% 2.4% 1.6% 0.3%
OJ O'Connell 18.1% 16.0% 15.2% 12.2% 11.9% 8.9% 5.7% 4.8% 3.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Terry Duncan 2.8% 1.9% 3.2% 2.9% 4.9% 4.7% 4.8% 5.2% 7.1% 8.7% 11.5% 13.5% 14.3% 14.5%
Max Fleischfresser 2.1% 3.2% 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 8.5% 9.3% 13.3% 17.8% 17.4%
John McGlynn 8.6% 8.5% 7.9% 8.4% 11.2% 10.3% 8.8% 10.6% 9.2% 7.0% 4.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Conor Fowler 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 8.7% 9.6% 8.8% 9.5% 9.0% 6.2% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
John Murphy 1.8% 3.2% 1.5% 2.3% 3.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 7.3% 8.2% 11.9% 15.9% 14.5% 12.6%
Samuel Scribner 2.4% 2.9% 2.8% 4.8% 3.8% 5.4% 6.8% 6.3% 8.6% 11.4% 13.1% 11.8% 10.4% 9.5%
William Kresic 2.0% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 3.3% 2.8% 3.0% 3.9% 5.0% 8.4% 12.8% 18.7% 34.9%
Daniel Barry 2.6% 3.4% 2.7% 4.4% 5.4% 3.7% 6.5% 6.7% 7.8% 9.5% 13.3% 13.3% 13.5% 7.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.