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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.81+8.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+5.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+4.40vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+2.82vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.06+0.68vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.27+5.82vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.87+3.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65-0.76vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-5.06vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-2.48vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-3.96vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.51vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.92-10.47vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.38-10.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44University of Rhode Island1.813.9%1st Place
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4.11Harvard University3.1818.9%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.5%1st Place
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9.78Brown University1.723.6%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University2.074.9%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College1.924.5%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College2.066.9%1st Place
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13.82Maine Maritime Academy0.271.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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9.24Boston University1.653.9%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University2.227.8%1st Place
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10.52Salve Regina University0.463.4%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University1.223.6%1st Place
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14.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.9211.8%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.388.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.9% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 21.4% | 29.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 11.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 41.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.