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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+5.42vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.65+7.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44+1.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.95+1.47vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.55+1.67vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University2.71+0.21vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51-4.05vs Predicted
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10Amherst College1.45-0.14vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.30-0.66vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-5.35vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35-2.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-4.71vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.76-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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9.01Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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4.05Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.21Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.49Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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9.86Amherst College1.450.0%1st Place
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10.34Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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6.65Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.12Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Colin MURPHY | 18.5% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Bennett | 9.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| John McGlynn | 8.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Murphy | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.1% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| William Kresic | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.