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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+2.78vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+0.87vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37+3.29vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.09+2.29vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.12+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.83+1.25vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-3.86vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.54-1.28vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39-0.52vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22-8.34vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.37-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of New Hampshire0.6816.8%1st Place
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2.87Boston University1.0130.6%1st Place
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6.29Middlebury College-0.376.7%1st Place
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6.05Maine Maritime Academy-0.317.0%1st Place
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6.59University of New Hampshire-0.005.7%1st Place
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8.29University of New Hampshire-1.093.2%1st Place
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8.25Williams College-1.123.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.3%1st Place
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10.25University of New Hampshire-1.831.4%1st Place
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6.14Maine Maritime Academy-0.338.1%1st Place
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9.72University of New Hampshire-1.541.9%1st Place
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11.48Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.391.1%1st Place
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4.66Olin College of Engineering0.2211.3%1st Place
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11.46Middlebury College-2.371.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 16.8% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 30.6% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffen Horne | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| James Sullivan | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Kate Myler | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 14.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 8.7% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 30.9% |
| James Jagielski | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bronwyn Jensen | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.