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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+3.08vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.65+7.09vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University2.71+3.09vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.55+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51-1.00vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+0.76vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84-1.51vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.30+2.11vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58-2.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.95-4.56vs Predicted
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11Amherst College1.45-1.07vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.76-0.46vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-4.64vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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9.09Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.09Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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6.76Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.49Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.11Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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6.52Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.93Amherst College1.450.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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10.0Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 18.8% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| John McGlynn | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| OJ O'Connell | 16.9% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Maxwell Bennett | 10.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Murphy | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% |
| William Kresic | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 35.7% |
| Daniel Barry | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.