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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+7.16vs Predicted
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3Williams College-1.12+5.31vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.37+2.32vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+1.09vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.19vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.01-4.14vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.32vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.44vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39+1.57vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.09-2.79vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.54-2.25vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.83-2.92vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.37-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81University of New Hampshire0.6817.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.8%1st Place
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8.31Williams College-1.123.0%1st Place
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6.32Middlebury College-0.376.9%1st Place
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6.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.317.8%1st Place
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6.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.336.5%1st Place
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2.86Boston University1.0129.1%1st Place
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4.68Olin College of Engineering0.2212.6%1st Place
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6.56University of New Hampshire-0.005.7%1st Place
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11.57Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.391.1%1st Place
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8.21University of New Hampshire-1.093.7%1st Place
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9.75University of New Hampshire-1.541.7%1st Place
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10.08University of New Hampshire-1.832.5%1st Place
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11.42Middlebury College-2.370.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 17.1% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Griffen Horne | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Hyde | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 29.1% | 23.9% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 35.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 9.1% |
| Cameron McLean | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 12.4% |
| Bronwyn Jensen | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.