Race 1A

jesuit-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lukas Edegran 6.0% 8.2% 10.0% 8.6% 7.9% 10.0% 8.9% 11.5% 8.5% 9.5% 6.5% 2.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olin Paine 25.5% 19.5% 16.5% 11.4% 10.1% 7.1% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Bowman 16.7% 14.4% 15.4% 12.9% 13.0% 9.8% 7.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Liebenberg 8.2% 9.7% 8.1% 9.2% 8.2% 11.6% 12.2% 8.7% 8.7% 7.7% 4.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 9.7% 11.8% 11.1% 11.8% 9.8% 9.4% 9.9% 8.1% 8.4% 5.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 3.7% 3.8% 5.2% 6.7% 8.1% 8.1% 7.7% 9.9% 9.4% 12.3% 12.1% 7.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Nick Valente 7.4% 7.9% 7.8% 9.6% 7.9% 9.1% 9.2% 11.3% 10.7% 8.8% 6.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tommy Holmberg 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 5.7% 6.3% 6.2% 9.3% 9.6% 9.5% 11.8% 13.2% 9.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 7.9% 9.6% 9.4% 9.5% 11.0% 9.2% 9.6% 6.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Storck 8.3% 8.0% 8.3% 9.9% 10.0% 11.2% 10.5% 9.5% 11.2% 5.2% 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Keil 2.7% 2.3% 2.2% 2.6% 4.1% 3.1% 5.2% 4.9% 7.1% 10.5% 16.6% 17.3% 14.6% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Scott Barnhill 0.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 3.2% 4.1% 5.5% 7.9% 10.8% 18.8% 18.0% 13.7% 6.4% 1.8%
Zachary Foreman 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 3.5% 3.0% 5.3% 12.1% 17.8% 23.2% 18.9% 10.1%
Mary Loffredo 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.4% 3.2% 5.9% 12.7% 20.8% 52.2%
William Iselin 0.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 6.6% 11.5% 17.7% 29.5% 25.5%
Elyse Surette-DiMuzio 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 2.1% 3.6% 5.1% 9.9% 17.2% 24.0% 22.5% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.