← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire0.68+2.77vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.01+0.88vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+2.98vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+2.18vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.66vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+3.14vs Predicted
-
7Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.16vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-0.37-1.76vs Predicted
-
9Williams College-1.12-0.60vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.74vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-1.54-1.41vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-1.83-1.83vs Predicted
-
13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.39-1.59vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-2.37-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.77University of New Hampshire0.6817.2%1st Place
-
2.88Boston University1.0130.3%1st Place
-
5.98Maine Maritime Academy-0.316.7%1st Place
-
6.18Maine Maritime Academy-0.337.3%1st Place
-
6.66University of New Hampshire-0.005.5%1st Place
-
9.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.8%1st Place
-
4.84Olin College of Engineering0.2211.2%1st Place
-
6.24Middlebury College-0.377.4%1st Place
-
8.4Williams College-1.122.6%1st Place
-
8.26University of New Hampshire-1.093.9%1st Place
-
9.59University of New Hampshire-1.542.1%1st Place
-
10.17University of New Hampshire-1.831.8%1st Place
-
11.41Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.391.1%1st Place
-
11.47Middlebury College-2.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 17.2% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 30.3% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffen Horne | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| James Sullivan | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kate Myler | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| James Jagielski | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 9.7% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 12.7% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 32.6% |
| Bronwyn Jensen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.