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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University4.26+2.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+4.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+2.91vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+0.13vs Predicted
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5Bates College2.43+3.10vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+1.75vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.56vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.27+5.02vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.88+5.79vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.21+1.23vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-5.65vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.34+1.03vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.74-3.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-7.44vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.21-1.04vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Fordham University4.260.2%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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4.13Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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8.1Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.75Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.44SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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13.02McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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14.79SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.23Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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13.03Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.92Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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13.96Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 23.1% | 23.0% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Edegran | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 11.7% |
| Mary Loffredo | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 22.8% | 51.4% |
| Scott Barnhill | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 19.7% | 10.9% |
| Colin Keil | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Iselin | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 29.6% | 24.4% |
| Ian Storck | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.