Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Olin Paine 24.2% 21.8% 17.6% 12.2% 8.5% 6.2% 5.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Storck 8.7% 9.9% 8.5% 9.7% 9.3% 9.9% 10.3% 9.8% 7.9% 7.8% 4.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Bowman 17.2% 14.1% 14.6% 14.4% 12.8% 9.2% 7.3% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tommy Holmberg 4.0% 3.5% 4.6% 5.5% 5.4% 6.7% 7.7% 9.1% 11.4% 13.7% 12.3% 9.3% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Colin Keil 1.4% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 4.4% 6.7% 7.3% 10.6% 16.8% 17.7% 10.3% 7.7% 1.9% 0.2%
Lukas Edegran 6.2% 6.4% 8.4% 9.8% 9.7% 8.7% 9.4% 9.5% 10.8% 9.3% 6.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 10.5% 10.4% 10.5% 11.1% 11.0% 10.3% 9.6% 8.4% 8.2% 5.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 4.2% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.4% 10.1% 10.5% 12.9% 9.9% 7.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Foreman 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 4.8% 10.4% 18.4% 23.4% 21.8% 8.3%
Andrew Bates 6.7% 7.1% 6.4% 6.9% 8.4% 10.4% 10.6% 11.0% 10.4% 9.9% 5.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Valente 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 7.7% 8.0% 9.7% 11.0% 10.2% 9.5% 8.0% 6.9% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Barnhill 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 1.6% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 13.4% 17.3% 18.6% 13.3% 6.2% 1.8%
Elyse Surette-DiMuzio 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.6% 5.7% 10.1% 20.0% 21.5% 20.4% 11.7%
Mary Loffredo 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.6% 4.2% 6.0% 11.7% 20.9% 52.2%
William Iselin 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 2.8% 5.9% 11.4% 18.6% 28.3% 25.8%
David Liebenberg 7.9% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 11.5% 10.4% 9.9% 10.4% 8.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.