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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.25+2.81vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+0.97vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.90+3.44vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27+0.02vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.76+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.28+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.52vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-2.86vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.69-1.23vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-2.74vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.26-1.96vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.68-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Boston University0.2517.3%1st Place
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3.3Olin College of Engineering0.4624.7%1st Place
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3.97University of New Hampshire0.1016.4%1st Place
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7.44Williams College-0.904.5%1st Place
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5.02Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.2710.8%1st Place
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9.03Middlebury College-1.762.9%1st Place
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7.75University of New Hampshire-1.283.4%1st Place
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6.48University of New Hampshire-0.825.8%1st Place
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6.14Maine Maritime Academy-0.655.9%1st Place
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8.77Middlebury College-1.692.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.8%1st Place
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10.04University of New Hampshire-2.261.8%1st Place
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10.99University of New Hampshire-2.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Kalich | 17.3% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schnell | 24.7% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 16.4% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 11.4% |
| Camren Conant | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Dalyan Yet | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 8.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 24.1% |
| Abigail Forcier | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.