← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Williams College-0.90+6.51vs Predicted
-
2Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.32vs Predicted
-
3Boston University0.25+0.69vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.100.00vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-0.82+1.49vs Predicted
-
6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-0.94vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-1.28+0.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.41vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.69-0.31vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-3.81vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College-1.76-2.04vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-2.68-1.04vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-2.26-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.51Williams College-0.903.1%1st Place
-
3.32Olin College of Engineering0.4623.9%1st Place
-
3.69Boston University0.2519.1%1st Place
-
4.0University of New Hampshire0.1016.1%1st Place
-
6.49University of New Hampshire-0.826.0%1st Place
-
5.06Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.2710.8%1st Place
-
7.69University of New Hampshire-1.284.3%1st Place
-
8.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.4%1st Place
-
8.69Middlebury College-1.692.6%1st Place
-
6.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.657.2%1st Place
-
8.96Middlebury College-1.761.8%1st Place
-
10.96University of New Hampshire-2.680.9%1st Place
-
10.02University of New Hampshire-2.261.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 23.9% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 19.1% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Camren Conant | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
| Dalyan Yet | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 8.7% |
| Griffin Stolp | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.1% |
| Abigail Forcier | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 43.4% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.