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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University4.26+2.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+2.33vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+0.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.50vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+0.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.28vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.55-0.35vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.43-1.01vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.74+0.04vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05-4.63vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.21-0.81vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.27+0.11vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.34-1.04vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-0.15vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.21-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Fordham University4.260.2%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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4.18Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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7.65Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.99Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.04Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.37SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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11.19Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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13.11McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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12.96Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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14.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
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14.0Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 24.8% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Edegran | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Storck | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colin Keil | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Nick Valente | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 10.7% |
| Zachary Foreman | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 9.7% |
| Mary Loffredo | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 55.4% |
| William Iselin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 29.5% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.