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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.25+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+2.04vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27+2.15vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering0.46-0.66vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+1.04vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.90+1.57vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.28-0.40vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.69-0.19vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.76-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.26-1.95vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.68-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Boston University0.2517.4%1st Place
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4.04University of New Hampshire0.1015.0%1st Place
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5.15Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.2710.2%1st Place
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3.34Olin College of Engineering0.4623.9%1st Place
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6.04Maine Maritime Academy-0.657.4%1st Place
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7.57Williams College-0.904.3%1st Place
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6.54University of New Hampshire-0.825.6%1st Place
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7.6University of New Hampshire-1.284.5%1st Place
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8.81Middlebury College-1.692.8%1st Place
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8.91Middlebury College-1.763.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.9%1st Place
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10.05University of New Hampshire-2.261.8%1st Place
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10.93University of New Hampshire-2.681.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Kalich | 17.4% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 23.9% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Jake Lacoche | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Camren Conant | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Dalyan Yet | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
| Talia Trigg | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 9.6% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 5.6% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 24.9% |
| Abigail Forcier | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.