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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+1.36vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.40+0.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+4.32vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-1.45vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.45-0.53vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.56+0.73vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.31+0.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.70-4.16vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.02-0.72vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.76-0.98vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.110.00vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-1.15+0.71vs Predicted
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15Cornell University0.56-3.48vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.53-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Pennsylvania3.510.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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4.14Fordham University3.400.2%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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4.55Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.73SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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9.48Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.28Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.02Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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13.0McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.71Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.52Cornell University0.560.0%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 19.6% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 15.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Charles Proctor | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| William Joumas | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 2.6% |
| James Paolino | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 14.7% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 21.5% | 51.6% |
| Philippe Williamson | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Claire Smith | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 29.9% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.