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📊 Prediction Accuracy

68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
George Prieto 11.5% 11.8% 12.1% 11.4% 12.1% 11.4% 8.8% 8.3% 7.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximiliano Agnese 19.6% 17.1% 15.9% 12.8% 10.4% 9.6% 6.6% 4.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Booker 15.5% 12.5% 14.1% 12.0% 14.0% 11.1% 9.1% 4.7% 3.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 15.7% 15.8% 12.7% 15.1% 11.9% 10.6% 7.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Gardner 1.7% 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.9% 6.2% 9.3% 10.6% 13.5% 12.7% 13.3% 9.0% 4.7% 1.7% 0.2%
Sarah Williams 13.1% 13.4% 14.4% 12.8% 10.9% 11.2% 8.8% 6.8% 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 7.2% 7.0% 6.0% 9.4% 8.8% 8.9% 11.2% 12.0% 12.0% 7.7% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Rudy Normann 2.5% 2.9% 4.3% 3.9% 4.1% 5.9% 9.2% 10.3% 10.4% 12.0% 13.1% 9.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2%
MacKenzie MacRae 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 2.6% 3.7% 4.3% 6.2% 8.9% 10.7% 12.2% 13.3% 11.6% 9.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.8%
Charles Proctor 7.4% 8.2% 8.5% 9.6% 12.0% 12.3% 12.1% 10.6% 8.3% 5.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Koehler 1.8% 2.5% 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 6.6% 8.4% 10.3% 13.4% 14.1% 13.8% 9.7% 4.3% 1.0%
William Joumas 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 6.7% 9.6% 12.1% 13.8% 14.7% 12.5% 8.7% 2.6%
James Paolino 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 6.2% 9.5% 12.8% 20.5% 20.7% 14.7%
Lauren Javaly 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 3.2% 6.2% 9.6% 21.5% 51.6%
Philippe Williamson 0.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.3% 2.7% 3.9% 5.0% 9.9% 9.8% 12.1% 17.7% 17.5% 9.4% 3.5%
Claire Smith 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.9% 4.0% 6.5% 8.4% 15.2% 29.9% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.