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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.25+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+2.06vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27+2.05vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.76+4.95vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering0.46-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.60vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.90+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.27vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.69-0.28vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-3.95vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.28-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.68-1.17vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.26-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Boston University0.2518.2%1st Place
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4.06University of New Hampshire0.1016.2%1st Place
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5.05Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.2711.4%1st Place
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8.95Middlebury College-1.762.1%1st Place
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3.46Olin College of Engineering0.4622.3%1st Place
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6.6University of New Hampshire-0.825.3%1st Place
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7.41Williams College-0.904.5%1st Place
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8.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.9%1st Place
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8.72Middlebury College-1.693.6%1st Place
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6.05Maine Maritime Academy-0.656.9%1st Place
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7.81University of New Hampshire-1.283.8%1st Place
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10.83University of New Hampshire-2.680.9%1st Place
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10.01University of New Hampshire-2.261.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Kalich | 18.2% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 16.2% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.7% |
| Peter Schnell | 22.3% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Dalyan Yet | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Griffin Stolp | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Camren Conant | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Abigail Forcier | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 40.4% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.