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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.40+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+1.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+5.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70+0.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.87vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-2.43vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.31+1.47vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.56-0.22vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.56+1.48vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.02-0.78vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.76-0.96vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.110.00vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.45-7.60vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.53-1.21vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.15-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Fordham University3.400.2%1st Place
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3.82University of Pennsylvania3.510.2%1st Place
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4.38University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.57Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.47Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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8.78SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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11.48Cornell University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.22Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.04Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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13.0McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.79SUNY Stony Brook-0.530.0%1st Place
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14.76Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jacob | 16.4% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 18.4% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 14.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Proctor | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Rudy Normann | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Philippe Williamson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| John Koehler | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| William Joumas | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| James Paolino | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 23.1% | 12.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Smith | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 30.3% | 25.6% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.