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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.73vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.40+2.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+1.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.27-1.56vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.31+2.60vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.02+2.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+0.23vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.45-3.54vs Predicted
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11Cornell University0.56+0.43vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.11+0.99vs Predicted
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13Villanova University0.76-2.05vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.56-5.24vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.53-1.16vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.15-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Pennsylvania3.510.2%1st Place
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4.04Fordham University3.400.2%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.54Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.6Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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10.25Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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6.46Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.43Cornell University0.560.0%1st Place
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12.99McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.95Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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13.84SUNY Stony Brook-0.530.0%1st Place
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14.8Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 20.7% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 18.3% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 13.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| John Koehler | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| James Gardner | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philippe Williamson | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 2.6% |
| James Paolino | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 14.5% |
| William Joumas | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Rudy Normann | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Claire Smith | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 30.5% | 24.8% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 20.0% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.