Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
6.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lauren Javaly 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.9% 3.2% 4.1% 6.4% 8.9% 19.9% 51.8%
Claire Smith 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 6.1% 9.8% 15.0% 27.5% 25.9%
James Paolino 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 4.9% 10.1% 12.3% 19.0% 23.1% 14.3%
William Joumas 1.0% 0.7% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 2.8% 4.7% 3.8% 6.1% 9.6% 11.0% 13.9% 14.4% 15.3% 7.5% 2.4%
Eric Anderson 6.4% 6.6% 7.1% 7.9% 9.9% 9.9% 12.8% 10.7% 10.9% 8.4% 5.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Philippe Williamson 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 5.4% 7.0% 7.8% 10.1% 13.2% 16.5% 14.5% 11.7% 3.3%
Rudy Normann 2.4% 3.2% 3.3% 5.3% 4.0% 3.8% 8.3% 9.1% 10.7% 12.3% 13.1% 9.7% 8.4% 5.1% 1.3% 0.0%
James Gardner 2.1% 2.5% 3.7% 3.6% 3.3% 5.2% 6.1% 10.1% 10.5% 13.1% 12.9% 12.5% 6.2% 4.9% 2.9% 0.4%
John Koehler 1.3% 3.0% 1.8% 1.1% 2.4% 3.5% 5.3% 6.4% 8.8% 11.4% 13.6% 14.0% 12.4% 9.8% 3.9% 1.3%
Sarah Williams 14.0% 13.4% 10.6% 13.9% 12.3% 13.2% 8.5% 7.1% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 3.4% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.6% 6.5% 7.0% 9.7% 12.0% 13.7% 10.9% 11.8% 6.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Charles Proctor 8.2% 8.5% 10.0% 8.9% 11.5% 10.6% 10.2% 10.4% 9.4% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Booker 14.3% 14.9% 15.0% 11.5% 11.8% 10.4% 7.9% 6.5% 4.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Prieto 11.1% 11.9% 10.6% 13.0% 11.5% 11.9% 9.6% 8.6% 6.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximiliano Agnese 17.8% 15.4% 15.8% 14.6% 11.4% 9.6% 7.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 15.8% 16.1% 15.3% 11.8% 12.2% 10.0% 7.9% 5.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.