Race 1A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 20.8% 17.5% 16.0% 12.0% 9.3% 8.1% 6.2% 4.0% 3.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 9.1% 11.5% 9.3% 7.5% 10.4% 10.9% 10.0% 10.2% 8.5% 5.4% 3.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Nancy Hagood 12.5% 12.6% 11.5% 10.5% 12.6% 8.7% 10.1% 7.3% 5.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Samantha Gebb 2.0% 2.7% 3.6% 4.9% 4.2% 5.2% 6.5% 6.8% 8.5% 12.6% 12.4% 13.6% 13.3% 3.7%
Mayumi Roller 12.7% 13.7% 15.6% 13.2% 10.6% 10.0% 7.7% 6.4% 4.5% 2.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Annie Eckmann 2.0% 2.7% 2.2% 2.6% 4.1% 3.1% 3.9% 6.4% 7.7% 11.0% 12.3% 16.4% 17.8% 7.8%
Heather Richardson 1.8% 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 3.8% 4.4% 4.8% 6.0% 6.7% 11.0% 17.5% 25.5% 9.9%
Lauren Turner 13.6% 14.3% 10.6% 12.5% 11.0% 10.8% 7.8% 5.7% 6.2% 3.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Maria Sinagra 6.5% 3.9% 6.5% 5.8% 8.0% 10.2% 8.5% 12.2% 9.7% 8.9% 8.8% 7.5% 3.2% 0.3%
Corina Radtke 7.3% 7.5% 8.8% 11.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.5% 8.6% 9.3% 8.2% 5.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Irene Jacqz 5.1% 5.2% 5.2% 7.5% 8.2% 6.8% 9.6% 9.3% 9.9% 9.4% 12.0% 6.8% 4.6% 0.4%
Mia Cooper 3.4% 3.1% 5.0% 5.1% 5.4% 6.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.6% 11.4% 11.4% 10.2% 8.1% 2.0%
Eleanor Conroy 3.0% 3.6% 3.0% 3.8% 4.1% 5.1% 6.5% 7.6% 8.7% 13.4% 11.9% 13.8% 12.5% 3.0%
Amanda Castagna 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 2.2% 1.2% 3.2% 4.8% 11.9% 72.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.