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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+5.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+3.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+0.60vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.97+1.60vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+0.42vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-2.50vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.34-3.71vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.20-0.38vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.97-1.76vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.06-2.41vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.59-2.99vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-1.69vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Brown University2.739.8%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University3.1815.8%1st Place
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5.23Yale University2.7313.2%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island2.786.0%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.688.8%1st Place
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8.6Boston College1.974.9%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.385.2%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.5%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College2.347.9%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College1.202.6%1st Place
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11.24Boston University0.972.6%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont1.062.1%1st Place
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12.01Northeastern University1.592.2%1st Place
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14.31Salve Regina University0.970.5%1st Place
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13.55Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Chase Decker | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 10.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 39.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.