Race 2A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 20.9% 18.1% 16.0% 10.1% 10.0% 8.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 2.4% 3.6% 3.6% 5.1% 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 6.6% 8.0% 11.9% 11.6% 15.7% 11.0% 3.7%
Nancy Hagood 12.4% 12.8% 12.4% 10.9% 10.6% 10.2% 8.3% 8.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 6.4% 9.4% 8.9% 9.8% 8.9% 9.8% 11.4% 8.6% 9.0% 7.0% 6.0% 2.6% 2.1% 0.1%
Lauren Turner 11.7% 13.7% 13.1% 12.4% 10.7% 10.3% 8.6% 7.0% 4.8% 4.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Arielle DeLisser 9.0% 6.9% 8.8% 11.2% 9.3% 9.0% 11.4% 9.9% 8.2% 7.0% 5.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 3.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.6% 5.9% 4.8% 5.1% 7.6% 8.1% 11.6% 12.0% 14.5% 12.1% 3.2%
Mayumi Roller 15.7% 14.7% 13.4% 11.5% 11.8% 8.9% 6.8% 7.4% 3.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 4.5% 3.0% 3.1% 5.7% 6.4% 6.4% 7.7% 7.1% 11.5% 11.8% 13.1% 10.8% 6.6% 2.3%
Irene Jacqz 5.0% 4.2% 5.4% 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 9.8% 10.1% 10.7% 9.2% 9.9% 7.6% 4.1% 0.8%
Annie Eckmann 1.7% 2.6% 2.2% 1.7% 3.3% 4.7% 5.3% 6.0% 9.4% 8.6% 13.1% 14.8% 19.3% 7.3%
Maria Sinagra 4.7% 6.3% 6.4% 7.2% 7.2% 9.7% 9.2% 10.9% 9.9% 9.8% 8.3% 5.8% 3.9% 0.7%
Heather Richardson 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 4.1% 6.5% 6.9% 11.4% 16.3% 26.7% 11.7%
Amanda Castagna 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 3.3% 6.5% 12.2% 70.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.