Race 3A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 19.0% 19.3% 14.3% 12.6% 10.2% 7.4% 6.4% 5.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 15.2% 13.5% 12.1% 12.9% 10.7% 11.1% 8.0% 6.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 4.1% 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8% 7.3% 11.0% 13.2% 12.2% 9.8% 8.6% 1.1%
Nancy Hagood 10.3% 12.8% 12.3% 13.3% 10.2% 11.7% 8.3% 7.9% 5.4% 4.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 12.2% 14.7% 13.7% 15.1% 10.7% 8.6% 7.8% 6.4% 6.1% 2.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Samantha Gebb 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 3.3% 4.5% 4.0% 6.5% 8.3% 8.9% 11.7% 11.8% 15.1% 13.4% 4.0%
Irene Jacqz 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 11.0% 10.1% 9.4% 9.1% 10.9% 5.3% 3.4% 0.9%
Maria Sinagra 6.5% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% 9.1% 10.4% 8.6% 9.0% 6.9% 3.6% 1.0%
Corina Radtke 8.3% 6.7% 8.6% 7.8% 10.7% 11.0% 11.3% 9.0% 9.3% 7.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Arielle DeLisser 8.9% 7.2% 9.8% 9.5% 10.3% 10.0% 9.5% 10.4% 8.8% 6.4% 5.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Annie Eckmann 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 5.4% 5.7% 7.2% 6.0% 10.2% 13.0% 17.5% 17.0% 6.6%
Eleanor Conroy 2.7% 2.0% 3.7% 3.7% 4.4% 4.4% 6.8% 7.0% 10.5% 12.4% 11.4% 14.1% 13.2% 3.7%
Heather Richardson 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.3% 5.7% 8.4% 11.4% 16.8% 25.7% 11.6%
Amanda Castagna 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 3.8% 6.1% 11.5% 70.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.