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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.55+2.93vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44+0.60vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.10-0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.43-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.38-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Rochester Institute of Technology-1.557.1%1st Place
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2.6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.4424.9%1st Place
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2.25Syracuse University-0.1032.5%1st Place
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2.56University of Rochester-0.4325.8%1st Place
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3.66University of Rochester-1.389.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Knisely | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 23.8% | 46.5% |
| Ethan Hall | 24.9% | 23.7% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 8.0% |
| Tucker Ballou | 32.5% | 30.4% | 20.2% | 13.2% | 3.8% |
| Nate Shaffer | 25.8% | 23.8% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 7.0% |
| Josephine Freis | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 27.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.